Publications and research results

Publication details


Publications in 2025
Nils Bochow, Anna Poltronieri, Martin Rypdal and Niklas Boers (2025):
Reconstructing historical climate fields with deep learning

https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adp0558
Science Advances
2 Apr 2025
Full Article
Ningning Tao, Xiaosong Chen, Fei Xie, Yongwen Zhang, Yan Xia, Xuan Ma, Han Huang and Hongyu Wang (2025):
A Revisit of Large-Scale Patterns in Middle Stratospheric Circulation Variations

https://doi.org/10.3390/e27040327
Entropy
31 Mar 2025
Full Article
Philipp Hess, Michael Aich, Baoxiang Pan and Niklas Boers (2025):
Fast, scale-adaptive and uncertainty-aware downscaling of Earth system model fields with generative machine learning

https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-025-00980-5
Nature Machine Intelligence
13 Mar 2025
Full Article
Yiran Xie, Xu Wang, Yatong Qian, Teng Liu, Hao Fan, Xiaosong Chen (2025):
Ecosystem evolution and drivers across the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding regions

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124885
Journal of Environmental Management
12 Mar 2025
Full Article
Ruth R. Chapman, Peter Ashwin and Richard A. Wood (2025):
Quantifying tipping behavior: Geometric early warnings and quasipotentials for a box model of AMOC

https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0240959
Chaos
26 Feb 2025
Full Article
Baker, J. A., Bell  M. J., Jackson L. C., Vallis  G. K., Watson A. J. & Wood R. A. (2025):
Continued Atlantic overturning circulation even under climate extremes

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08544-0
Nature
26 Feb 2025
Full Article
Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen, Keno Riechers and Niklas Boers (2024):
Synchronization of Layer-Counted Paleoclimatic Proxy Archives Using a Bayesian Regression Modeling Framework

https://doi.org/10.1214/25-BA1509
Bayesian Analysis
20 Feb 2025
Full Article


Publications in 2024
Nils Bochow, Anna Poltronieri and Niklas Boers (2024):
Projections of precipitation and temperatures in Greenland and the impact of spatially uniform anomalies on the evolution of the ice sheet

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5825-2024
The Cryosphere
12 Dec 2024
Full Article
Sebastian Bathiany, Da Nian, Markus Drüke and Niklas Boers (2024):
Resilience indicators for tropical rainforests in a dynamic vegetation model

https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17613
Global Change Biology
6 Dec 2024
Full Article
Yu Huang, Sebastian Bathiany, Peter Ashwin and Niklas Boers (2024):
Deep learning for predicting rate-induced tipping

https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-024-00937-0
nature machine intelligence
28 Nov 2024
Full Article
Andreas Morr, Niklas Boers, Peter Ashwin (2024):
Internal noise interference to warnings of tipping points in generic multi-dimensional dynamical systems

https://doi.org/10.1137/24M1669104
SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems (SIADS)
Volume 23 Issue 4
11 Nov 2024
Full Article
T. K. Akabane, C. M. Chiessi, M. Hirota, I. Bouimetarhan, M. Prange, S. Mulitza, D. J. Bertassoli Jr, C. Häggi, A. Staal, G. Lohmann, N. Boers, A. L. Daniau, R. S. Oliveira, M. C. Campos, X. Shi & P. E. De Oliveira (2024):
Weaker Atlantic overturning circulation increases the vulnerability of northern Amazon forests

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01578-z
nature geosience
1 Nov 2024
Full Article
Michael Ghil (2024):
Boolean Delay Equations: a dynamical approach to modeling complex systems

https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-9182
Annals of Geophysics
31 Oct 2024
Full Article
Da Nian, Sebastian Bathiany, Boris Sakschewski, Markus Drüke, Lana Blaschke, Maya Ben-Yami, Werner von Bloh, Niklas Boers (2024):
Rainfall seasonality dominates critical precipitation threshold for the Amazon forest in the LPJmL vegetation model

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174378
Science of The Total Environment
Volume 947, 174378
15 Oct 2024
Full Article
Min Chen, Zhen Qian, Niklas Boers, Felix Creutzig, Gustau Camps-Valls, Klaus Hubacek, Christophe Claramunt, John P. Wilson, Stefano Nativi, Anthony J. Jakeman, R. Dietmar Müller, Michael Batty, Chenghu Zhou, Fahu Chen, Qiao Wang, Fan Zhang, C. Michael Barton, Josef Strobl, Michael Meadows, Carlo Ratti, Philipp Hess, Qingsong Xu, Zhixin Zhang, Qiushi Gu, A-Xing Zhu, Hui Lin, Linwang Yuan, Guonian Lü (2024):
Collaboration between artificial intelligence and Earth science communities for mutual benefit

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01550-x
Nature Geoscience 17, pp. 949–952
9 Oct 2024
Full Article
Johannes Lohmann, Bert Wuyts, Peter D Ditlevsen, Peter Ashwin (2024):
On the predictability of possible storylines for forced complex systems

https://doi.org/10.1088/2632-072X/ad7b95
Journal of Physics: Complexity
Volume 5, Number 3
27 Sep 2024
Full Article
Andreas Morr, Keno Riechers, Leonardo Rydin Gorjão, Niklas Boers (2024):
Anticipating critical transitions in multidimensional systems driven by time- and state-dependent noise

https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch. 6.033251
APS Physical Review Research 6, 033251
4 Sep 2024
Full Article
Maya Ben-Yami, Good, P., Jackson, L. C., Crucifix, M., Hu, A., Saenko, O., Swingedouw, D. and Niklas Boers (2024):
Impacts of AMOC Collapse on Monsoon Rainfall: A Multi-Model Comparison

https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003959
Earth's Future Volume 12, Issue 9
3 Sep 2024
Full Article
Maya Ben-Yami, Andreas Morr, Sebastian Bathiany, Niklas Boers (2024):
Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data

https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl4841
Science Advances Vol 10, Issue 31
2 Aug 2024
Full Article
Lana L. Blaschke, Da Nian, Sebastian Bathiany, Maya Ben-Yami, Taylor Smith, Chris A. Boulton and Niklas Boers (2024):
Spatial Correlation Increase in Single-Sensor Satellite Data Reveals Loss of Amazon Rainforest Resilience

https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004040
Earth's Future
26 July 2024
Full Article
Kaiwen Li, Yu Huang, Kai Liu, Ming Wang, Fenying Cai, Jianxin Zhang and Niklas Boers (2024):
Key propagation pathways of extreme precipitation events revealed by climate networks

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00701-6
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
12 July 2024
Full Article
Anna Poltronieri, Nils Bochow, Nikolas Olson Aksamit, Niklas Boers, Per Kristen Jakobsen and Martin Rypdal (2024):
Arctic summer sea ice loss will accelerate in coming decades

https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad5194
Environmental Research Letters
17 June 2024
Full Article
Anna Poltronieri, Nils Bochow, Niklas Boers and Martin Rypdal (2024):
Increasing fluctuations in the Arctic summer sea ice cover are expected with future global warming


https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad519d
Environmental Research: Climate
11 June 2024
Full Article
Andreas Morr and Niklas Boers (2024):
Detection of approaching critical transitions in natural systems driven by red noise


https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRev X.14.021037
APS Physical Review X 14, 021037
4 June 2024
Full Article
Sebastian Bathiany, Robbin Bastiaansen, Ana Bastos, Lana Blaschke, Jelle Lever, Sina Loriani, Wanda De Keersmaecker, Wouter Dorigo, Milutin Milenković, Cornelius Senf, Taylor Smith, Jan Verbesselt & Niklas Boers (2024):
Ecosystem resilience monitoring and early warning using EO data: challenges and outlook

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-024-09833-z
Surveys in Geophysics
2 May 2024
Full Article
Ya Wang, Gang Huang, Baoxiang Pan, Pengfei Lin, Niklas Boers, Weichen Tao, Yutong Chen, Bo Liu & Haijie Li (2024):
Correcting Climate Model Sea Surface Temperature Simulations with Generative Adversarial Networks: Climatology, Interannual Variability, and Extremes

https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-3288-6
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
5 Apr 2024
Full Article
Keno Riechers, Georg Gottwald, and Niklas Boers (2024):
Glacial abrupt climate change as a multi-scale phenomenon resulting from monostable excitable dynamics

https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0308.1
Journal of Climate
27 Mar 2024
Full Article
Vitus Benson, Jonathan F Donges, Niklas Boers, Marina Hirota, Andreas Morr, Arie Staal, Jürgen Vollmer and Nico Wunderling (2024):
Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances

http://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80
Environmental Research Letters
26 Jan 2024
Full Article
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